Summarized by Kent Larsen
Poll Shows Mormons Favor Bush
(Harris Interactive Study Finds Religion Will Play Key Role in 2000 Election)
Excite News (Businesswire) 18Apr00 N6
Catholics Hold Key Swing Votes in Tight Presidential Race
ROCHESTER, NEW YORK -- The most recent Harris Interactive Election 2000
survey shows that Mormons favor Texas Governor George W. Bush by 2 to 1
in the upcoming election. The poll, which draws on an Internet panel of
5.6 million respondents, was taken from April 4th to April 10th among
13,224 registered voters, one of the largest surveys taken. The poll
included 186 respondents that identified themselves as Mormon.
The poll asked respondents who they would vote for in a two-person race
between Bush and Vice President Al Gore and who they would vote for in
a three-person race between Bush, Gore and the Reform Party's Pat
Buchanan. Overall, the race between Bush and Gore was even, with about
5 percent of the vote undecided. Even with Buchanan in the race, the
vote remained evenly split between Bush and Gore, with Buchanan getting
just 4 percent.
Among Mormons, however, the decision was clearer, with 65 percent
supporting Bush to 34 percent supporting Gore, and only 1 percent
undecided. With Buchanan in the race, Bush's margin drops to 57 to 33
percent as Buchanan picks up support from 9 percent of the 186 Mormons
in the survey.
Because of the survey's size, it is probably a more accurate gauge of
the position of most Mormons than most election polls, which generally
involve only a handful of Mormon respondents. Overall, the poll has a
95 percent certainty that the results are accurate within 2 percent.